Your Guide to Tennis Betting Trends

There are a number of tennis bet types offered by various sportsbooks, but below, you'll find a summary of some of the most common markets you are likely to encounter with real-world examples of how those bets might look.

Trends in tennis betting are changing all the time, as they are with all kinds of sports betting. When you are wagering on tennis matches, these are the types of tendencies you should be looking for.

There's no set of tennis betting tips that guarantee profitability, but these are the kinds of factors that tennis bettors consider:

• Surface Specialists: Different players excel on different surfaces. Rafael Nadal's record at Roland Garros on clay (112-3) is arguably the most dominant surface-specific record in tennis history, but there are less dramatic examples, and it's always worth looking into how a player has faired on a specific surface. Even if a player isn't truly dominant on any individual surface, the variance in his performance in different environments is notable. Casper Ruud's winning percentage on different surfaces is a notable current example:

• Head-to-Head Records: Historical matchups matter in tennis. For example, as of January 2025, Daniil Medvedev was 11-2 against Alexander Zverev in their last 13 matches despite having a worse ATP ranking (5) than his rival (2). That information is important to know when betting.
• Recent Form: Current form can mean more than historical form. For example, Carlos Alcaraz went 33-6 to start 2024 and won two of the first three Grand Slam tournaments. When a player performs at that level, he can be extremely appealing to bet on, even if his career track record doesn't match that excellent form.
• Physical Condition and Fatigue: Players competing in back-to-back tournaments or long matches often underperform. In 2013, Novak Djokovic played a legendary semifinal match that took nearly five hours to complete. When he reached the final, he lost in straight sets. Therefore, it is important to pay attention to a player's previous schedule before placing wagers.
• Study Tournament Conditions: Indoor/outdoor environments, altitude, and tennis ball type can all impact results. One notable tournament with unusual conditions is the Madrid Open. Because it's a high-altitude event, players with impressive serving speeds tend to thrive.
• Don't Ignore Weather Conditions: Weather can be a significant factor in outdoor events. High winds can make it difficult to control serves, light rain can affect the way the ball bounces on clay courts, and humidity can make it harder for players to perform well in long matches. Remember to check the weather report before placing any bets.

No matter how well you identify and bet on statistical trends, it is important to use responsible gambling practices whenever you bet.

• Set a Budget: Decide in advance how much money you're willing to spend and never exceed that number. It is unwise to have your budget exceed 1-5% of your disposable income.
• Use Betting/Loss Limits: You can use tools available at major online sportsbooks to make your budgeting stricter. Betting limits put a hard ceiling on what can be wagered on a single bet or session, while loss limits prevent you from losing more than you can afford. Sometimes, when you watch sports, you may be tempted to spontaneously bet, but these tools can keep you on track.
• Time Management: Only gamble for a certain amount of time, and be ready to walk away and take breaks. Many sportsbooks offer time limits on how long you can stay signed in on their website or app or 'coo'-off' periods that allow users to take a break for a specific amount of time.
• Use Tracking Tools: Use sportsbooks' tools to monitor your wins and losses carefully. This will help you assess how gambling is affecting you and let you know if your betting is beginning to get out of control. Sometimes, it's possible to have a warped perception of your betting activity, and it makes sense to look at some objective data.
• Commit to Self-Exclusion if Necessary: If you see signs of problematic behavior in yourself, take advantage of the option to put yourself on a self-exclusion list. This will prevent you from accessing betting operators when your gambling has become a problem.
• Make Sure You Understand What You're Betting On: This guide provides some of the basics, but if you're comfortable betting on NBA games, mixed martial arts, horse racing, American football, or other sports, stick to what you know. You are likelier to lose money betting on sports you lack in-depth knowledge of. 

When betting on tennis, combining knowledge of trends and responsible gambling practices can enhance your approach.

• Focus on trends like surface performance, head-to-head records, and recent form to inform your bets.
• Pay attention to tournament-specific factors, weather conditions, and player schedules.
• Use responsible gambling tools to stay within limits and track your activity effectively.

While success is never guaranteed, informed decisions and a measured approach can help you manage your betting experience effectively. Remember, the primary goal should always be to enjoy the process responsibly.

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