Best NHL Betting Tips for Successful Wagering

13 min read
Jul 26, 2024, 12:53 PM
Author
Nick Ashbourne
Nick Ashbourne
Senior Writer
Last Updated: Sep 12, 2024, 2:46 PM

Understanding NHL Betting and NHL Betting Markets

NHL betting offers sports enthusiasts an opportunity to engage with games on a deeper level. The NHL, consisting of 32 teams across North America, provides numerous betting opportunities throughout its regular season and playoffs.

Understanding hockey betting markets is crucial for those looking to participate in hockey wagering.

Types of NHL Betting Markets

Hockey betting markets encompass various options for bettors to consider. These markets allow individuals to wager on different aspects of hockey games, from simple outcomes to more complex scenarios.

Money Line Betting

Money line betting is a straightforward form of NHL betting. In this market, bettors wager on which team will win the game outright. 

For example, a bettor might place a money line bet on the Boston Bruins to defeat the New York Rangers. The odds for each team reflect their perceived likelihood of winning.

Spread Betting – Puck Line Betting

Puck line betting is the hockey equivalent of point spread betting in other sports. The standard puck line is typically set at 1.5 goals. 

This means the favored team must win by more than 1.5 goals for bets on them to pay out, while the underdog can lose by up to one goal and still result in a winning bet for their backers.

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The Montreal Canadiens had the best puck line record in the NHL in 2023-24 (53-29).

Over/Under Betting – Totals Betting

Totals betting, also known as over/under betting, focuses on the combined number of goals scored by both teams in a game. 

Sportsbooks set a line, and bettors wager on whether the actual total will be over or under that number. 

For instance, if the total is set at 5.5 goals for a game between the Florida Panthers and the Edmonton Oilers, bettors can wager on whether the combined score will exceed or fall short of this number.

Effective Hockey Betting Strategies

Successful NHL betting requires a combination of knowledge, analysis, and strategy. Bettors should consider various factors when making their bets.

Current Form and Schedules

A team's recent performance and upcoming schedule can significantly impact their play. 

For example, a team on a long winning streak might be more likely to continue their success, while a team facing several games in quick succession may struggle with fatigue.

Analytics: Corsi, Fenwick, and Expected Goals

Advanced analytics play a crucial role in modern hockey analysis. 

Metrics such as Corsi (shot attempt differential), Fenwick (unblocked shot attempt differential), and Expected Goals (a statistic based on the location of shots and how many goals would score from those places on average) provide insights into team and player performance beyond traditional statistics.

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The teams with the five best Corsi ratings in 2023-24 all posted at least 99 points and made the playoffs. The Stanley Cup finalists — the Florida Panthers and Edmonton Oilers — were both top-three teams according to this metric.

Injuries, Line Movement, and Referees

Keeping track of player injuries, line movements, and referee assignments can provide valuable information for hockey betting. 

A key player's absence can significantly affect a team's performance, while line movements may indicate where the money is being placed.

Key Factors to Consider

When engaging in NHL betting, several factors should be taken into account to make informed decisions.

Matchups and Trends

Analyzing head-to-head records and historical trends between teams can reveal patterns that may influence game outcomes. For instance, certain teams may consistently perform well against specific opponents.

NHL Betting Tips

Situational Spot Bets

Situational betting involves considering factors such as travel schedules, back-to-back games, and motivational spots. A team playing their third game in four nights may be at a disadvantage against a well-rested opponent.

Prop Betting and Futures

NHL betting markets extend beyond single-game outcomes to include various proposition bets and futures markets.

Player Prop Bets

Player prop bets focus on individual player performance within a game. These can include wagers on whether a player will score a goal, record an assist, or achieve a certain number of shots on goal. For example, a bettor might wager on Connor McDavid of the Edmonton Oilers to score two or more points in a game.

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McDavid scored at least 2 points in 41 of 76 games during his remarkable 2023-24 season.

Team Prop Bets

Team prop bets involve wagering on specific team performances within a game. These can include bets on whether a team will score first, lead after the first period, or win by a certain margin.

NHL Season Futures Betting

Futures betting allows bettors to wager on long-term outcomes, such as which team will win the Stanley Cup or which player will lead the league in scoring. These bets often offer higher potential payouts due to their longer-term nature.

Live Betting and In-Game Wagering

Live betting, also known as in-game wagering, allows bettors to place bets while a game is in progress.

This dynamic form of betting can offer opportunities to capitalize on changing game situations and momentum shifts.

Making a Successful NHL Bet

To place a successful NHL bet, bettors should follow a structured approach.

Research Available Matchups

Before placing a wager, it's essential to research the available games and understand the context surrounding each matchup. This includes examining team statistics, player performance, and recent news.

Find the Best NHL Odds

Comparing odds across different sportsbooks can help bettors find the best value for their wagers. Odds can vary between bookmakers, and even small differences can significantly impact potential returns over time.

Log in/Sign up for a Sportsbook

To place an NHL bet online, bettors must have an account with a hockey sportsbook like BetMGM, BetRivers, or Bet365. Many online sportsbooks offer sign-up bonuses and promotions for new users.

Make Your Bet

Once research is complete and the best odds are identified, bettors can place their wagers through their chosen sportsbook. It's important to double-check all details before confirming the bet.

NHL Season and Playoff Betting

Betting strategies may differ between the regular season and playoffs due to the different nature of these periods.

NHL Season Betting Tips

During the regular season, factors such as travel schedules, divisional matchups, and team depth can play significant roles in game outcomes. 

Bettors should consider these elements when making their wagers.

Playoff Betting Strategies

Playoff hockey often sees tighter, more defensive hockey played. 

Understanding how teams perform in high-pressure situations and examining past playoff performances can provide valuable insights for betting during this period.

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Some teams, like the Toronto Maple Leafs, have a reputation for falling short in the playoffs despite impressive regular-season success.

Best Hockey Betting Sites

Legal online sportsbooks offer competitive odds, a wide range of markets, and user-friendly interfaces for hockey betting.

  • DraftKings: Not only a platform for placing bets but also offers expert predictions and betting tips for NHL games. Their analysis includes odds, over/under, and moneyline insights.
  • FanDuel: Provides detailed picks and predictions, along with betting guides and strategy tips to help bettors make informed decisions.
  • BetMGM: Features regular predictions and expert insights, covering all aspects of NHL betting, from game outcomes to individual player performances.

Free NHL Picks and Predictions

Many sports media websites, sportsbooks, and analysts offer free NHL picks and predictions. While these resources can be valuable, bettors should use them as part of a broader research strategy rather than relying on them exclusively.

Reliable Resources for Free NHL Picks and Predictions

Sports Media Websites

  • ESPN NHL: Provides expert analysis, game previews, and predictions for NHL games. It's a trusted source for up-to-date information and insights.
  • NHL.com: The official site of the NHL offers comprehensive coverage, including expert picks, player stats, and team performance analysis.
  • CBS Sports NHL: Offers daily picks and analysis from seasoned sports analysts, focusing on game outcomes, player performances, and betting tips.

Using Picks and Predictions Effectively

While these resources provide valuable insights, it's crucial to incorporate them into a comprehensive research strategy:

  • Diversify Information Sources: Don't rely solely on one site or analyst. Cross-reference predictions from multiple sources to get a well-rounded view.
  • Analyze Team and Player Statistics: Look at current form, head-to-head records, injuries, and other relevant statistics that might influence the game outcome.
  • Stay Updated with Latest News: Follow reliable news outlets and team announcements to stay informed about any last-minute changes or updates.

Free NHL picks and predictions are valuable tools, but combining them with thorough research and analysis can significantly enhance your betting strategy.

Responsible NHL Betting Practices

Always remember to bet responsibly. Here are some tips to ensure a healthy betting approach:

  • Set a Budget: Determine how much you are willing to wager and stick to that amount.
  • Avoid Chasing Losses: Don’t try to recover losses with bigger bets. Stick to your strategy.
  • Take Breaks: Regularly step away from betting to maintain a balanced perspective.
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By using these resources and maintaining a responsible betting approach, NHL enthusiasts and bettors can make more informed and strategic bets.

NHL Betting Tips FAQ

Understanding Moneyline Bets

What is NHL Moneyline Betting?

Moneyline betting is one of the simplest forms of hockey betting, where you wager on which team will win a game outright. This type of bet is straightforward as it eliminates the need to consider the margin of victory.

For instance, in an NHL game between the Boston Bruins and the New York Rangers, a moneyline bet would involve choosing which team you think will win.

The odds for each team reflect their perceived likelihood of winning, with the favorite typically having lower odds and the underdog higher odds. This form of betting is popular among both novice and experienced bettors due to its simplicity.

Explaining Puck Line Betting in Hockey

How Does Puck Line Betting Work?

Puck line betting is the hockey equivalent of point spread betting in other sports. In this type of bet, a standard spread of 1.5 goals is usually set.

This means that the favored team must win by more than 1.5 goals for a bet on them to be successful, while the underdog can lose by up to a single goal and still result in a winning bet for their backers.

For example, if you bet on the Carolina Hurricanes with a puck line of -1.5 against the Ottawa Senators, the Hurricanes must win by at least two goals for you to win the bet. Conversely, if you bet on the Senators at +1.5, they need to either win the game or lose by just one goal.

Understanding Totals Betting in NHL Games

What is Over/Under Betting in Hockey?

Over/under betting, also known as totals betting, involves wagering on the total number of goals scored in a hockey game. Sportsbooks set a line, such as 5.5 goals, and bettors must decide whether the combined score of both teams will be over or under this number.

For instance, in a game between the Florida Panthers and the Edmonton Oilers, if the over/under line is set at 5.5 goals, you would bet on whether the total goals scored by both teams will be more than 5.5 (over) or less than 5.5 (under). 

This type of betting requires careful consideration of the teams' offensive and defensive capabilities, recent performance, and other factors that might influence scoring.

Utilizing Advanced Metrics for NHL Betting

How Important Are Advanced Analytics in Hockey Betting?

Advanced analytics play a crucial role in modern NHL betting. Metrics such as Corsi (shot attempt differential), Fenwick (unblocked shot attempt differential), and Expected Goals (xG) provide deeper insights into team and player performance beyond traditional statistics.

These analytics help bettors understand which teams are generating more scoring opportunities and controlling the puck more effectively. 

For example, a team with a high Corsi percentage is often controlling the play and generating more shots, which can indicate better overall performance and potential success in future games. Utilizing these metrics can enhance your ability to make informed bets on NHL games.

Considering Injuries and Line Movements in Hockey Betting

How Do Injuries and Line Movements Affect NHL Betting?

Injuries to key players can significantly impact the outcome of an NHL game, making it essential for bettors to stay updated on the latest injury reports. A star player being out of the lineup can change the dynamics of a game, affecting both the team’s performance and the betting odds.

Additionally, line movements—changes in the betting odds—often indicate where the majority of money is being placed. Monitoring these movements can provide insights into market sentiment and potential shifts in the game's expected outcome. 

For instance, if the odds on a team suddenly become less favorable, it might be due to a recent injury announcement or other significant factors.

Exploring Proposition Bets in NHL Betting

What Are Player and Team Prop Bets?

Prop bets, or proposition bets, focus on specific events within a game rather than the final outcome. 

Player prop bets involve wagering on individual player performances, such as the number of goals a player will score, assists, or shots on goal. For example, you might bet on Connor McDavid to score two or more goals in a game.

Team prop bets, on the other hand, involve betting on particular team achievements within a game, such as which team will score first, lead after the first period, or win by a certain margin. 

These bets add another layer of excitement and can be based on detailed player and team analysis.

Understanding Long-Term Bets in NHL Betting

What Are NHL Futures Bets?

Futures betting allows bettors to wager on long-term outcomes, such as which team will win the Stanley Cup or which player will lead the league in scoring by the end of the season. 

These bets are placed well in advance of the outcome and often offer higher potential payouts due to their speculative nature.

For example, placing a futures bet on the Colorado Avalanche to win the Stanley Cup at the beginning of the season could yield significant returns if they succeed. 

Futures bets require careful analysis of team rosters, offseason moves, and other factors that might influence performance over the season.

Exploring In-Game Wagering in Hockey

How Does Live Betting Work in NHL Games?

Live betting, or in-game wagering, allows bettors to place bets while a hockey game is in progress. This dynamic form of betting can offer opportunities to capitalize on changing game situations and momentum shifts.

For example, if a team starts strong and takes an early lead, you might place a bet on them to maintain that lead throughout the game.

Live betting requires quick decision-making and the ability to interpret the flow of the game in real time. 

It can be particularly exciting as it keeps bettors engaged throughout the entire duration of the game, allowing for a more interactive and responsive betting experience.

<p>Nick has been fascinated with sports since he was first taken to a Toronto Maple Leafs game back in 1998, and he's written about them professionally since 2014.</p><p>Nick has covered baseball and hockey for outlets like The Athletic, Sportsnet, and Yahoo Sports, and his sports betting expertise has grown since its legalization in Ontario in 2022.&nbsp;</p><p>Between 2022 and 2023 he worked for a betting startup called NorthStar Bets, and in 2024 he contributed to Oddspedia before joining the Responsible Gambler team.</p>
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Everything You Need On Hockey Betting

Meet our Authors

Paruyr Shahbazyan began his business career in 2000 as a private entrepreneur. Over thirteen years, he developed a deep understanding for business and leadership, laying a solid foundation for his professional journey.

In 2013, Paruyr stepped into the sports and betting industry as the founder and president of Bookmaker Rating. This online mass media platform, which he led until 2020, focused on providing in-depth analysis and insights in sports betting, earning a reputation for its quality content. 

Continuing his innovative approach in 2022, Paruyr co-founded Azuro, a decentralized betting protocol. This venture showcases his dedication to integrating advanced technology in the evolving landscape of sports betting. Through these diverse experiences, Paruyr has continuously influenced and shaped the betting industry, driving new trends and setting high standards.

 ExperienceYear
Engaged in private entrepreneurship2000-2013
Founder and President at Bookmaker Rating, an online platform focused on sports and betting2013-2020
Co-founder at Azuro, a decentralized betting protocol2022

"Innovation in sportsbetting comes from a deep understanding of both technology and the human element of sports." 

- Paruyr Shahbazyan, Founder, RG

 

Principles and Ethics

Paruyr Shahbazyan's core beliefs lie in the power of informed decision-making and integrity in the betting industry. He understands that the foundation of successful betting is not just about odds and predictions, but also about the trust and reliability of the information provided. Paruyr advocates for a betting environment where transparency and knowledge are paramount, ensuring that bettors are well-equipped with accurate data and insights.

Strategic Vision

Paruyr's vision is to revolutionize the sports betting industry through the integration of technology. He sees the future of betting as a blend of traditional sports knowledge with innovative tech solutions, like decentralized protocols, to enhance user experience and fairness. His aim is to create platforms that are not only user-friendly but also uphold the highest standards of ethical betting, contributing to a more responsible and enjoyable betting culture.

Future Perspectives

Looking towards the future, Paruyr envisions a betting landscape that is more inclusive, technologically advanced, and globally connected. He anticipates a significant shift towards more decentralized and transparent betting systems, driven by blockchain technology. Paruyr is committed to being at the forefront of this change, continuously exploring new possibilities and innovations that can redefine what it means to engage in sports betting in a digital world. His focus is on building systems that prioritize user empowerment, fairness, and the global growth of the sports betting community.

 

Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Editor-in-Chief

Sol has over 20 years of experience in writing for diverse industries including sports, gambling, regulation, technology, and startups. As the Editor-in-Chief at RG, Sol brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the role, focusing on delivering transparent, evidence-based content grounded in thorough research. Sol's mission is to empower readers to enjoy gambling responsibly and make informed decisions, enhancing their overall experience through insightful and engaging content. Under Sol's leadership, RG prioritizes the highest standards of integrity and reliability, ensuring that all information provided is accurate and trustworthy. Sol's dedication to transparency and research-based writing helps create a responsible gambling environment where readers can truly benefit from the content. This commitment to excellence has positioned RG as a leading source of information in the gambling industry.

Experience:

  • Over 20 years in writing and editing across multiple industries
  • Former head of regional innovation at BMO Financial Group
  • Senior Writer, Online Casino Reports
Cristina Varela Galan
Cristina Varela Galan
Problem Gambling Expert

Cristina used to work as a Psychology Assistant in the Bizkaia Pathological and Risky Gamblers Association. She was also part of a research team in Deusto University, specializing in pathological gambling area. While working there, she managed to develop her own project 

 “Exploring the association between emotional regulation, alexithymia, stressful life events and gambling in adolescent and young adult women”.

Nick Ashbourne
Nick Ashbourne
Senior Writer

Nick has been fascinated with sports since he was first taken to a Toronto Maple Leafs game back in 1998, and he's written about them professionally since 2014.

Nick has covered baseball and hockey for outlets like The Athletic, Sportsnet, and Yahoo Sports, and his sports betting expertise has grown since its legalization in Ontario in 2022. 

Between 2022 and 2023 he worked for a betting startup called NorthStar Bets, and in 2024 he contributed to Oddspedia before joining the Responsible Gambler team.

Sergey Demidov
Sergey Demidov
Head of News Department

Sergey has been in sports journalism since 2007 as a reporter, editor, and manager. He has covered the Olympic Games, soccer World Cups, the World Cup of Hockey in 2016, the European championships, the Stanley Cup Finals, IOC events, and many others. Sergey interviewed the sport's greatest athletes, coaches, and executives. Since 2016, he has been an Independent Senior Editor of NHL.com/ru.

Anna Kravtcova
Anna Kravtcova
Problem Gambling Expert

Ph.D. in organizational psychology, an internationally certified psychologist (EuroPsy 2022, Cognitive behavioural therapy of mindfulness 2020, International Society for Emotional Intelligence 2017, Russian Psychological society 2014, American Psychological Association(Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychologist) 2011), speaker of many international conferences (USA, Brazil, Portugal, Czech Republic, Russia, etc.). TEDx speaker.

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