NFL MVP Odds: Expert Picks and Top Contenders

11 min read
Jul 29, 2024, 8:37 AM
Author
Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Sol Fayerman-Hansen
Editor-in-Chief
Last Updated: Nov 8, 2024, 11:43 AM

Understanding NFL MVP Odds

The NFL MVP award, given to the most valuable player during the regular season, is one of the most prestigious accolades in the National Football League. Betting on NFL MVP odds involves predicting which player will be honored as the league's most valuable player. The odds to win are determined by various factors, including player performance, team success, and historical trends.

Remember
Betting on these odds is about understanding the broader context of player performance and team dynamics throughout the season.

NFL MVP History and Trends

The history of the NFL MVP winners provides valuable insights into what it takes to win. Historically, quarterbacks have dominated the award, with notable winners like Brett Favre, Aaron Rodgers, and Patrick Mahomes. Defensive players and non-QBs have a tougher path to the most valuable player, although legends like LT and Page have managed to secure the honor.

Quarterbacks have won the NFL MVP award 42 times since 1961, highlighting their pivotal role in the league.

Notable Past MVP Winners

  • Brett Favre: Favre won three consecutive times in the 1990s for the Packers, showcasing his consistency and dominance.
  • Aaron Rodgers: The Green Bay Packers quarterback has multiple awards, with his most recent in 2020.
  • Adrian Peterson: The Minnesota Vikings running back won in 2012, one of the rare non-QB winners.
  • Lawrence Taylor: The New York Giants linebacker was a dominant defensive player who won in 1986.

Top Contenders for 2024-25 NFL MVP

The 2024-2025 NFL season is shaping up to be a big year for the MVP award with several players in the mix. Based on current odds and performance here are the NFL players with the best odds to win the award this season:

1. Patrick Mahomes - Kansas City Chiefs

Patrick Mahomes is a perennial MVP favorite. Off another great season and a Super Bowl win Mahomes will continue to be dominant. He makes big plays, he leads a competitive team and is known for his accuracy, ability to throw on the run and making plays under pressure. Given his history it’s no surprise he’s at the top of the odds again.

2. Josh Allen - Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen is another MVP candidate. As the leader of the Buffalo Bills Allen is a dual threat as a passer and runner. He’s shown big improvement in his decision making and accuracy over the last few seasons and if he takes the Bills deep in the playoffs it will help his MVP case. He can put up big numbers through the air and on the ground so he’s a favorite among the oddsmakers.

3. Jalen Hurts - Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts had an outstanding 2023-2024 season and led the Philadelphia Eagles to the Super Bowl. With his arm strength, accuracy and mobility Hurts is proving to be a dynamic QB who can lead his team to sustained success. If he can match or beat last season’s performance Hurts will be a top MVP candidate. His leadership and ability to make plays with his legs adds another layer to his MVP case.

4. Joe Burrow - Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow is another QB with good MVP odds going into the 2024-2025 season. Burrow has become one of the top passers in the league and has led the Cincinnati Bengals to the playoffs in back to back seasons. His pocket presence, football IQ and ability to spread the ball to his talented receiving corps gives him an advantage. If Burrow builds on his previous success and the Bengals are a top team he’ll be in the MVP mix.

5. Justin Herbert - Los Angeles Chargers

Justin Herbert’s MVP stock has been trending up the last few years and 2024-2025 could be his breakout season. He’s got the arm and accuracy to be one of the top QBs in the league. With the Chargers adding more weapons on offense Herbert’s numbers could go through the roof this season. If the Chargers make a deep playoff run Herbert will be in the MVP conversation.

6. Dak Prescott - Dallas Cowboys

Dak Prescott is an MVP candidate going into the 2024-2025 season and looks to lead the Dallas Cowboys to success. He’s got leadership, arm talent and mobility and is in position for a career year. The Cowboys have a balanced offense and top defense so Prescott could put up big numbers. If he can stay healthy and take the Cowboys deep in the playoffs his MVP odds will only get better as the season goes on.

7. C.J. Stroud - Houston Texans

C.J. Stroud the rookie QB is a long shot in the MVP race for 2024-2025. It’s rare for a player to win MVP so early in their career but Stroud has shown he’s got the potential. If he continues to grow and impress as the leader of the Houston Texans Stroud could surprise a lot of people. He may not be the favorite but he’s definitely one to watch as he develops into one of the best in the league.

The 2024-2025 MVP race is going to be tight with several players looking elite. Quarterbacks are always the conversation but the NFL is always changing so surprises are always possible. Keep an eye on the odds as the season goes on, injuries, team success and individual performance will be the key to the MVP.

Betting on NFL MVP Odds

Betting on NFL MVP odds involves placing a futures wager on who will win the MVP. This type of wager is typically made before the season starts, but betting options are available throughout the season as well.

How to Bet on NFL MVP Odds

  • Choose a Sportsbook: Select a legal and regulated sportsbook that offers these odds. It is always recommended to do a sportsbook comparison to get the best odds.
  • Understand the Odds: Familiarize yourself with the moneyline odds for each player. For example, if Patrick Mahomes has odds of +500, a $100 bet would win $500 if he wins.
  • Place Your Bet: Decide how much you want to wager and place your bet through the sportsbook platform.
  • Monitor Player Performance: Keep an eye on how players perform throughout the season, especially Monday Night Football and Thursday Night Football spotlights to understand how their odds might shift.
Placing a futures bet on NFL MVP odds requires a blend of research and timing to maximize potential returns.

Factors to Consider

  • Player Performance: Look at stats such as passing yards, touchdowns, and completion percentage for QBs, or rushing yards and touchdowns for running backs.
  • Team Success: Players from winning teams are more likely to be considered.
  • Injury History: A player’s injury history can significantly impact their chances of winning.
  • Strength of Schedule: Consider how tough the team's schedule is, as consistent performance against strong opponents can boost a player's chances.

While sports betting can enhance the excitement of the NFL season, it's important to set limits and stay in control. Always gamble responsibly by managing your bankroll and avoiding emotional decisions based on a team's performance or a player's MVP odds. Remember, the best bet is a smart and informed one.

NFL MVP Award Insights

The NFL MVP award is voted on by a panel of 50 sportswriters at the end of the regular season. The award has evolved over the years, reflecting changes in the league and its players.

Current Trends

  • Quarterbacks: With the league's emphasis on passing, QBs continue to dominate MVP voting.
  • Dual-Threat Players: Players who can impact the game in multiple ways, like Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen, have become increasingly popular candidates.

Expert Picks and Predictions

  • Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs): Patrick Mahomes remains a top pick due to his exceptional skills and leadership. The Chiefs' consistent performance in the regular season further solidifies his candidacy.
  • Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills): Josh Allen’s versatility and the Bills' strong playoff potential make him a strong contender. His ability to accumulate impressive stats both passing and rushing boosts his MVP odds.
  • Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens): Lamar Jackson’s unique playstyle and previous MVP win keep him in the conversation. If he can lead the Ravens to a successful season, his chances are high.

Dark Horses

  • CJ Stroud (Texans): A strong arm, accuracy, and poise under pressure. Stroud has quickly made a name for himself with impressive performances and leadership on the field.
  • Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals): A strong season with playoff success could see Burrow emerge as a serious MVP candidate.

Defensive Players

While it's rare, defensive players like T.J. Watt (Pittsburgh Steelers) or Aaron Donald (Los Angeles Rams) could be considered if they have standout seasons.

NFL MVP Insights and Team Highlights

  • Indianapolis Colts: The Indianapolis Colts have seen a mix of success and rebuilding phases. Although not currently having a top NFL MVP contender, they have a promising QB in development. The Colts' history includes strong MVP performances, notably from Peyton Manning.
  • Philadelphia Eagles: The Philadelphia Eagles are consistently strong contenders in the National Football League (NFL). With a well-rounded team and a history of competitive play, they always have players in the MVP conversation.
  • Cleveland Browns: The Cleveland Browns have shown significant improvement in recent years. With a focus on developing a strong QB and a robust roster, they are becoming a formidable team in the NFL. The Browns' strategic moves in the draft and free agency have bolstered their chances of future MVP candidates.
  • Miami Dolphins: The Miami Dolphins are another team with potential MVP candidates. Their current QB has shown promise, and the team's overall performance is on an upward trajectory. The Dolphins' ability to perform under pressure makes them a team to watch.
  • Houston Texans: The Texans are in a rebuilding phase but have the potential to surprise as an underdog. With new leadership and strategic player acquisitions, the Texans aim to rise in the standings and develop future MVP talent.
  • New Orleans Saints: The New Orleans Saints consistently field strong teams with potential MVP candidates. Known for their dynamic offense and strategic play, the Saints remain competitive in the NFL. Their performance in upcoming games will be crucial for any MVP aspirations.

Betting Insights

  • Most Popular Betting Odds on the NFL MVP: NFL MVP betting remains one of the most popular betting markets. Futures odds for MVP candidates like Patrick Mahomes, and Lamar Jackson attract significant attention.
  • Futures Odds: Futures odds provide a way to bet on long-term outcomes. Bettors can place wagers on who will win the NFL MVP well before the season starts, taking advantage of early odds that might offer better value.
  • Bonus Bets: All NFL sportsbooks offer bonus bets and promotions for wagering on the NFL MVP. These bonuses can provide additional value but should be used responsibly to avoid problem gambling.
<p>With 20+ years of writing experience across sports, gambling, regulation, technology, and startups, Sol brings a broad understanding to his role as Editor-in-Chief at RG. His work provides clear, factual information to help readers make informed decisions about gambling. Sol’s approach is about transparency and research, so the content at RG is straightforward, evidence-based, and accessible.</p><p>At RG, Sol keeps the focus on the reader by maintaining a standard of reliability and integrity in the information shared. Under his editorial direction, RG aims to provide practical insights into sports and sports entertainment that support a balanced and informed approach. Sol’s approach has helped RG become a go-to source for readers looking to engage responsibly and thoughtfully in the industry.</p>
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